ForestSD
Forest succession dynamics under climate change in Jirisan National Park, South Korea
The forest ecosystem is an important component of the global ecosystem. As a complex ecosystem, the forest ecosystem is in dynamic change. The Forest landscape model is an effective tool to study the response of the forest ecosystem to climate change. Jirisan is South Korea's first and largest national park, with rich forest resources and high biodiversity, where trees (e.g. conifers) in sub-alpine areas, are significantly affected by climate change. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the response of the forest ecosystem to climate change in Jirisan. By simulating the dynamic succession of forest landscapes in Jirisan, it is helpful to understand the rule of forest succession and track the driving force of forest dynamic change. In this way, the species, scale, and distribution of forest resources in Jirisan can be adjusted reasonably so that the forest resources in Jirisan can play a better ecological function and economic benefit.
The research objective is to simulate the effect of climate change on tree species under various scenarios over the next 100 years from 2020 to 2120, which provides a basis to evaluate the role of management in protecting forests under climate change. Firstly, we will use the dynamic forest model TreeMig to project the future forest development in Jirisan under two different climate change scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). Secondly, we will compare the model projections to the forest cover under current climatic conditions. Thirdly, we will assess how the protective effect of the forest against disturbance (e.g. forest fire) may change under climate change in the next 100 years based on quantitative analysis. Finally, we will Comparatively analyze the current data on forest regeneration and future forest simulation.
Contact information
Zhiying Han